FA Cup . 1/256

Beaconsfield vs Brackley Town analysis

Beaconsfield Brackley Town
23 ELO 45
5.6% Tilt 4.5%
6657º General ELO ranking 3542º
312º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
18.6%
Beaconsfield
23.7%
Draw
57.7%
Brackley Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
Beaconsfield
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.7%
Win probability
Brackley Town
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Beaconsfield
Brackley Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beaconsfield
Beaconsfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2016
ROY
Royston Town
4 - 1
Beaconsfield
BEA
66%
19%
15%
26 34 8 0
01 Oct. 2016
BEA
Beaconsfield
3 - 0
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
FEL
50%
21%
29%
25 23 2 +1
26 Sep. 2016
BEA
Beaconsfield
2 - 2
Marlow FC
MAR
46%
23%
31%
25 25 0 0
24 Sep. 2016
FLE
Fleet Town
2 - 1
Beaconsfield
BEA
30%
24%
46%
26 21 5 -1
17 Sep. 2016
BEA
Beaconsfield
3 - 1
Witham Town
WHI
43%
24%
34%
26 27 1 0

Matches

Brackley Town
Brackley Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2016
BRA
Brackley Town
2 - 2
Darlington FC
DAR
24%
24%
52%
44 50 6 0
01 Oct. 2016
WOR
Worcester City
0 - 3
Brackley Town
BRA
44%
26%
30%
43 41 2 +1
24 Sep. 2016
SAL
Salford City
1 - 1
Brackley Town
BRA
70%
18%
12%
43 50 7 0
17 Sep. 2016
BRA
Brackley Town
6 - 0
Rugby Town
RUG
56%
22%
22%
42 28 14 +1
13 Sep. 2016
BRA
Brackley Town
0 - 2
Worcester City
WOR
56%
25%
19%
44 38 6 -2
X