Beaconsfield vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
BED
3 - 2
BEA
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BEA
3 - 1
HAN
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 0
BEA
47%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 3
BEA
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ARL
0 - 0
AYL
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PET
1 - 2
ARL
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 3
ARL
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARL
0 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
47%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
UXB
4 - 0
ARL
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |