Oberliga Mittelrhein Round 6

BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis

BCV Glesch-Paffendorf SC Fortuna Köln II
29 ELO 18
-6.6% Tilt -3.3%
40840º General ELO ranking 5407º
1870º Country ELO ranking 264º
ELO win probability
74.6%
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
14.9%
Draw
10.5%
SC Fortuna Köln II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.5%
Win probability
SC Fortuna Köln II
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
SC Fortuna Köln II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2021
DUR
Düren
3 - 0
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
BGP
57%
20%
23%
30 33 3 0
29 Aug. 2021
BGP
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
1 - 0
Deutz
SVD
76%
14%
10%
30 18 12 0
22 Aug. 2021
ALT
Alfter
1 - 2
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
BGP
30%
22%
49%
29 23 6 +1
19 Aug. 2021
BGP
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
1 - 1
Pesch
PES
54%
21%
25%
30 26 4 -1
15 Aug. 2021
VFL
VfL Vichttal
0 - 2
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
BGP
26%
22%
52%
29 23 6 +1

Matches

SC Fortuna Köln II
SC Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2021
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
2 - 0
SV Breinig
SVB
46%
22%
32%
17 18 1 0
29 Aug. 2021
WES
Wesseling-Urfeld
3 - 1
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
46%
21%
33%
18 18 0 -1
22 Aug. 2021
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
1 - 2
Siegburger SV 04
SIE
31%
23%
46%
18 24 6 0
19 Aug. 2021
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
3 - 0
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
50%
20%
30%
20 20 0 -2
15 Aug. 2021
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
1 - 2
SV Eilendorf
EIL
69%
17%
15%
20 17 3 0