BCV Glesch-Paffendorf vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
16º
11º
31
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PES
0 - 3
BGP
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MEE
2 - 0
BGP
55%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BGP
4 - 2
SVB
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
WES
0 - 4
BGP
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
SIE
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BWF
0 - 0
SCF
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
WES
0 - 3
BWF
14%
20%
67%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 1
BWF
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 0
BWF
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
2 - 0
BWF
78%
14%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |