Baztan vs Peña Azagresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 1
CDB
29%
24%
47%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CDB
3 - 1
INF
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BET
1 - 2
CDB
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
GAR
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AOI
3 - 0
CDB
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Azagresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
CDA
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MEN
2 - 2
PEN
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 2
AVA
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 1
PEN
12%
16%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
ZIR
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |