Baza vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 0
BAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BAZ
3 - 3
GRA
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ECI
2 - 1
BAZ
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAZ
0 - 0
LUC
49%
28%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 2
BAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 2
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 1
LOR
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
TAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ALG
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |