Baza vs Atl. La Zubia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CUL
1 - 0
BAZ
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BAZ
3 - 2
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 0
BAZ
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BAZ
8 - 0
PAR
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MOL
2 - 1
BAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. La Zubia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ZUB
4 - 0
AGU
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDV
0 - 1
ZUB
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALQ
4 - 0
ZUB
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ZUB
3 - 0
CUL
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 3
ZUB
64%
19%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |