Bayreuth SpVgg vs Trogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
KLE
1 - 6
BAY
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 2
AMB
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 2
AHA
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 2
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ERB
1 - 3
BAY
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Trogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
TRO
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
AHA
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 3
TRO
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 1
NEU
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 1
WUR
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +2 |