Bayreuth SpVgg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
WAL
2 - 1
BAY
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
3 - 1
FCN
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
BNE
1 - 0
BAY
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
1 - 1
KSC
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
PIR
2 - 1
BAY
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
MSV
2 - 0
S04
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
S04
2 - 1
KAI
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
KAI
4 - 0
S04
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
S04
0 - 1
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
KOL
3 - 1
S04
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |