Oberliga Bayern Round 1

Bayreuth SpVgg vs Rain / Lech analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Rain / Lech
36 ELO 36
-4.3% Tilt 2.4%
2264º General ELO ranking 8636º
95º Country ELO ranking 423º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Bayreuth SpVgg
22.6%
Draw
22.3%
Rain / Lech

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.3%
Win probability
Rain / Lech
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-5%
-61%
Rain / Lech

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Rain / Lech
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2009
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 3
VfL Frohnlach
FRO
60%
22%
17%
39 34 5 0
23 May. 2009
BAY
Bayern Hof
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
35%
25%
40%
40 31 9 -1
15 May. 2009
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
30%
25%
46%
41 31 10 -1
08 May. 2009
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 3
Weiden
WEI
42%
26%
32%
43 45 2 -2
05 May. 2009
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 2
TSV Aindling
TSV
46%
27%
28%
42 45 3 +1

Matches

Rain / Lech
Rain / Lech
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2009
RAI
Rain / Lech
0 - 0
TSV Aindling
TSV
37%
25%
38%
34 43 9 0
23 May. 2009
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 2
Rain / Lech
RAI
60%
21%
19%
33 41 8 +1
16 May. 2009
RAI
Rain / Lech
2 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
43%
25%
32%
33 39 6 0
09 May. 2009
BUC
Buchbach
0 - 1
Rain / Lech
RAI
53%
23%
25%
32 36 4 +1
02 May. 2009
RAI
Rain / Lech
5 - 3
VfL Frohnlach
FRO
35%
25%
40%
29 37 8 +3