Bayreuth SpVgg vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 2
BAY
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 0
ING
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
EIC
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
WAC
1 - 0
BAY
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 3
MEM
27%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ILL
0 - 2
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ILL
1 - 3
NUR
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 1
ILL
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ILL
3 - 2
ING
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 0
ILL
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |