Bayreuth SpVgg vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 2
WEI
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 5
WUR
8%
16%
75%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
AUB
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
AUB
2 - 2
BAY
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 4
MUN
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
HEI
2 - 1
ISM
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 0
WAL
42%
22%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
KOR
1 - 3
HEI
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 5
TSA
19%
22%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
KOT
0 - 3
HEI
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |