Bayreuth SpVgg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1980 |
WAL
4 - 3
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
BAY
1 - 0
OFC
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
BAY
3 - 1
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1980 |
ESV
5 - 3
BAY
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
BAY
2 - 1
SVS
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1980 |
SGF
2 - 0
ESV
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SVS
2 - 0
SGF
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1980 |
SGF
1 - 0
WUR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 1
SGF
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
FRE
2 - 2
SGF
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |