Bayreuth SpVgg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
WAT
4 - 1
BAY
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BAY
4 - 1
DAR
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
VIK
3 - 0
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 0
ROT
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
EBT
1 - 1
BAY
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
KÖL
2 - 1
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 0
HER
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
SAA
4 - 2
KÖL
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 3
OSN
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
DAR
2 - 1
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |