Bayreuth SpVgg vs ESV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
SVS
4 - 3
BAY
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
2 - 0
BAY
22%
28%
51%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
SCF
3 - 1
BAY
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 2
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ESV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
EIN
4 - 0
ESV
63%
20%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
ESV
2 - 2
SVS
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
WUR
0 - 1
ESV
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ESV
3 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
HOM
2 - 0
ESV
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |