Bayreuth SpVgg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1989 |
F95
4 - 3
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 1
S04
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
BWB
1 - 2
BAY
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
BAY
0 - 0
MEP
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
SCF
4 - 0
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1989 |
AAA
5 - 2
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
USO
0 - 2
AAA
31%
29%
41%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
AAA
3 - 1
KÖL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
AAA
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
AAA
1 - 1
SAA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |