Bayonne vs Lège-Cap-Ferret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
12º
10º
38
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LES
0 - 3
BAY
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
2 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CNF
2 - 1
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 2
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASM
0 - 0
LEG
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEG
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEG
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
6 - 1
LEG
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |