Bayonne vs Chauvigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
12º
10º
47
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PED
1 - 0
BAY
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 1
LEG
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LES
0 - 3
BAY
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 1
CHA
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 1
CHA
29%
22%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
CHA
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEG
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |