National 3 Round 19

Aviron Bayonnais vs Bergerac analysis

Aviron Bayonnais Bergerac
40 ELO 43
-14% Tilt -19%
4460º General ELO ranking 3627º
106º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Aviron Bayonnais
26.5%
Draw
32.1%
Bergerac

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
Aviron Bayonnais
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
Bergerac
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aviron Bayonnais
+103%
-23%
Bergerac

ELO progression

Aviron Bayonnais
Bergerac
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aviron Bayonnais
Aviron Bayonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2015
BAS
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
0 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
26%
27%
47%
41 30 11 0
21 Feb. 2015
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
3 - 0
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
42%
26%
32%
39 40 1 +2
14 Feb. 2015
AUR
Aurillac Arpajon
3 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
47%
26%
27%
40 39 1 -1
07 Feb. 2015
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
1 - 2
Rodéo FC Toulouse
ROD
63%
22%
15%
41 33 8 -1
24 Jan. 2015
VIL
Jeunesse Villenavaise
0 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
29%
25%
46%
41 30 11 0

Matches

Bergerac
Bergerac
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2015
BER
Bergerac
1 - 0
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
47%
26%
27%
41 39 2 0
22 Feb. 2015
ROD
Rodéo FC Toulouse
1 - 2
Bergerac
BER
30%
26%
44%
40 34 6 +1
14 Feb. 2015
BER
Bergerac
0 - 0
Toulouse II
TOU
44%
26%
30%
40 40 0 0
07 Feb. 2015
ANG
Angouleme
0 - 1
Bergerac
BER
58%
21%
21%
39 40 1 +1
24 Jan. 2015
BER
Bergerac
1 - 0
RCO Agde
AGD
58%
24%
19%
38 35 3 +1