National 3 Round 23

Aviron Bayonnais vs Balma analysis

Aviron Bayonnais Balma
37 ELO 35
-14.7% Tilt -19.1%
4460º General ELO ranking 24110º
106º Country ELO ranking 568º
ELO win probability
60.2%
Aviron Bayonnais
23.3%
Draw
16.5%
Balma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
Aviron Bayonnais
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
Balma
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aviron Bayonnais
+103%
-2%
Balma

ELO progression

Aviron Bayonnais
Balma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aviron Bayonnais
Aviron Bayonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2015
AGD
RCO Agde
0 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
37%
28%
35%
37 34 3 0
04 Apr. 2015
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
1 - 2
Fabrègues
FAB
50%
23%
26%
38 36 2 -1
28 Mar. 2015
BLA
Blagnac
2 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
40%
27%
33%
39 35 4 -1
14 Mar. 2015
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
0 - 1
Bergerac
BER
41%
27%
32%
41 42 1 -2
07 Mar. 2015
BAS
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
0 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
26%
27%
47%
41 30 11 0

Matches

Balma
Balma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2015
BAL
Balma
2 - 0
Fabrègues
FAB
30%
25%
45%
32 37 5 0
04 Apr. 2015
BER
Bergerac
3 - 0
Balma
BAL
67%
21%
12%
33 42 9 -1
28 Mar. 2015
BAL
Balma
1 - 2
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
31%
25%
45%
34 38 4 -1
21 Mar. 2015
BAL
Balma
1 - 2
Toulouse II
TOU
29%
27%
44%
35 41 6 -1
14 Mar. 2015
ROD
Rodéo FC Toulouse
1 - 1
Balma
BAL
41%
28%
32%
35 31 4 0