Bundesliga U17 Süd/Südwest round 20

Bayern München U17 vs Nürnberg U17 analysis

Bayern München U17 Nürnberg U17
25 ELO 16
19.8% Tilt 26.2%
6015º General ELO ranking 8857º
290º Country ELO ranking 432º
ELO win probability
84.3%
Bayern München U17
10.6%
Draw
5.1%
Nürnberg U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
Bayern München U17
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
Nürnberg U17
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München U17
+35%
-33%
Nürnberg U17

ELO progression

Bayern München U17
Nürnberg U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München U17
Bayern München U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2016
STK
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
6 - 1
Bayern München U17
BMC
11%
15%
74%
27 16 11 0
28 Feb. 2016
BMC
Bayern München U17
5 - 2
Hoffenheim U17
HOF
45%
22%
33%
26 28 2 +1
20 Feb. 2016
MUN
TSV 1860 München U17
1 - 1
Bayern München U17
BMC
18%
20%
61%
26 20 6 0
14 Feb. 2016
BMC
Bayern München U17
1 - 2
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
83%
11%
6%
26 17 9 0
13 Dec. 2015
GRF
Greuther Fürth U17
2 - 3
Bayern München U17
BMC
26%
21%
54%
26 20 6 0

Matches

Nürnberg U17
Nürnberg U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
FCN
Nürnberg U17
3 - 3
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
24%
23%
53%
17 23 6 0
27 Feb. 2016
M05
Mainz 05 U17
3 - 0
Nürnberg U17
FCN
62%
20%
17%
18 20 2 -1
21 Feb. 2016
SCF
SC Freiburg U17
1 - 1
Nürnberg U17
FCN
56%
22%
22%
18 19 1 0
14 Feb. 2016
FCN
Nürnberg U17
1 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
STK
79%
13%
8%
18 13 5 0
12 Dec. 2015
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
3 - 1
Nürnberg U17
FCN
83%
12%
6%
18 28 10 0