Bundesliga Round 4

Bayern München vs Wolfsburg analysis

Bayern München Wolfsburg
90 ELO 86
9.3% Tilt 22.4%
General ELO ranking 46º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Bayern München
21.1%
Draw
19.1%
Wolfsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.1%
Win probability
Wolfsburg
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
-1%
-5%
Wolfsburg

ELO progression

Bayern München
Wolfsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
18%
22%
60%
90 78 12 0
15 Aug. 2009
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
57%
21%
22%
90 87 3 0
08 Aug. 2009
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
18%
22%
61%
91 78 13 -1
02 Aug. 2009
NEC
SpVgg Neckarelz
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
1%
7%
92%
91 34 57 0
30 Jul. 2009
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
35%
27%
39%
91 96 5 0

Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2009
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 4
Hamburger SV
HSV
46%
24%
30%
86 87 1 0
15 Aug. 2009
KOL
Köln
1 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
23%
24%
53%
86 74 12 0
07 Aug. 2009
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
45%
24%
31%
86 86 0 0
31 Jul. 2009
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 4
Wolfsburg
WOL
14%
21%
65%
86 61 25 0
20 Jul. 2009
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
53%
21%
26%
87 87 0 -1