Bayern München vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
0 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
KAI
2 - 0
BYM
10%
18%
72%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 1
WOL
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
GEW
0 - 4
BYM
8%
18%
74%
|
93 | 39 | 54 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
BYM
0 - 0
RMA
43%
25%
32%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAG
5 - 1
ROM
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ROM
0 - 0
CES
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
OLY
5 - 1
ROM
16%
23%
62%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 1
ROM
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |