Bayern München vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 12
BYM
2%
6%
92%
|
96 | 41 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BYM
3 - 2
KOL
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 3
BYM
14%
17%
69%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
BYM
6%
12%
82%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
0 - 3
NAP
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
WOL
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 1
HER
32%
25%
42%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MEP
0 - 1
HER
9%
16%
75%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
GFK
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
ALH
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |