Bayern München vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
BYM
2 - 1
KOL
76%
15%
10%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
MSV
2 - 0
BYM
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1971 |
BYM
4 - 1
EBT
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 1
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1971 |
BYM
2 - 1
EIN
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1971 |
F95
0 - 1
BYM
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1971 |
F95
3 - 1
MON
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
BSC
0 - 2
F95
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
F95
2 - 0
RTV
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
F95
1 - 0
KÖL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |