Bayern München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 2
BYM
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 1
BYM
30%
25%
46%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
BYM
5 - 0
COT
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
KSC
1 - 4
BYM
17%
23%
61%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BYM
1 - 0
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
RAP
2 - 2
FCN
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 3
FCN
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
FCN
1 - 2
LEV
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
FCN
0 - 0
RAP
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |