Bayern München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
S04
1 - 2
BYM
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
BYM
3 - 0
BVB
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
KAI
3 - 2
BYM
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
BYM
0 - 1
KOL
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
HER
1 - 3
BYM
35%
24%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
FCN
1 - 1
RTV
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
EIN
3 - 0
FCN
66%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
FCN
1 - 1
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
LEV
1 - 0
FCN
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
FCN
3 - 1
KSC
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |