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Bundesliga. Matchday 5

Bayern München vs VfL Bochum analysis

Bayern München VfL Bochum
95 ELO 71
23% Tilt 69%
General ELO ranking 460º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
83.9%
Bayern München
9.8%
Draw
6.3%
VfL Bochum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.52
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.3%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

63
37
POS
23
5
SOT
2
2
COR
7
0
GF
0
7
GC
13
4
FRK
95
71
ELO
3.5
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bayern München
Their league position
VfL Bochum
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
13
85
58%
Wolfsburg
13
52
4%
B. Dortmund
12
82
15%
B. Leverkusen
10
76
1%
Mainz 05
10
48
10º
7%
SC Freiburg
9
48
7%
Köln
8
57
6%
Union Berlin
6
40
13º
6%
Hertha BSC
6
45
11º
6%
Hoffenheim
10º
5
53
7%
FC Augsburg
11º
5
18
17º
7%
RB Leipzig
12º
4
50
6%
Arminia Bielefeld
13º
4
23
16º
7%
Stuttgart
14º
4
48
6%
Eintracht Frankfurt
15º
4
35
14º
7%
B. Mönchengladbach
16º
4
43
12º
6%
VfL Bochum
17º
3
34
15º
7%
Greuther Fürth
18º
1
17
18º
10%
Expected probabilities
Bayern München
VfL Bochum
Champion
58% 0%
Champions League
42% 8%
Europa League
0% 6%
Europa Conference League
0% 6%
Mid-table
0% 59%
Relegation playoffs
0% 7%
Relegation
0% 15%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
VfL Bochum
RTV
Greuther Fürth
SGF
Stuttgart
STU
B. Leverkusen
LEV
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3567 3643 76 +57
11 Sep. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
31%
27%
42%
3549 2788 -761 +13
28 Aug. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
82%
12%
6%
3548 2150 1398 +4
25 Aug. 2021
BRE
Bremer SV
0 - 12
Bayern München
BYM
12%
18%
70%
3547 94 -3453 +1
22 Aug. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 2
Köln
KOL
82%
12%
6%
3543 2120 1423 +2

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO RTV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2021
RTV
VfL Bochum
1 - 3
Hertha BSC
HER
36%
27%
37%
1503 2037 -534 -12
02 Sep. 2021
RTV
VfL Bochum
0 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
56%
24%
20%
1941 1488 453 -53
28 Aug. 2021
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
VfL Bochum
RTV
53%
26%
22%
1950 2118 168 -9
21 Aug. 2021
RTV
VfL Bochum
2 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
42%
27%
31%
1931 2206 -275 +19
14 Aug. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
58%
22%
19%
1937 2459 522 -6