Bayern München vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
BYM
7%
13%
80%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AUG
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
S04
0 - 2
BYM
8%
15%
77%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
0 - 2
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 1
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TEW
0 - 7
AJA
4%
10%
87%
|
87 | 21 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
AEK
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |