Bayern München vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 0
ROM
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
0 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
KAI
2 - 0
BYM
10%
18%
72%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 1
WOL
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
GEW
0 - 4
BYM
8%
18%
74%
|
93 | 39 | 54 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 0
STP
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 2
KOL
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 3
KAI
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MEU
0 - 2
KOL
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KOL
2 - 0
SAM
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |