UEFA Youth League round 4

Bayern Munich U19 vs Arsenal U19 analysis

Bayern Munich U19 Arsenal U19
24 ELO 40
14.8% Tilt 7.3%
6854º General ELO ranking 21615º
346º Country ELO ranking 716º
ELO win probability
20.9%
Bayern Munich U19
20.4%
Draw
58.7%
Arsenal U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
Bayern München U19
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.7%
Win probability
Arsenal U19
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern Munich U19
+57%
+26%
Arsenal U19

ELO progression

Bayern München U19
Arsenal U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München U19
Bayern München U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2015
BYM
Bayern München U19
2 - 2
Heidenheim U19
HEI
88%
8%
4%
23 13 10 0
20 Oct. 2015
ARS
Arsenal U19
2 - 0
Bayern München U19
BYM
71%
17%
13%
23 41 18 0
04 Oct. 2015
SAA
Saarbrücken U19
1 - 5
Bayern München U19
BYM
31%
22%
47%
23 19 4 0
29 Sep. 2015
BYM
Bayern München U19
1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb U19
DZA
20%
20%
60%
24 44 20 -1
26 Sep. 2015
BYM
Bayern München U19
4 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
89%
8%
4%
24 12 12 0

Matches

Arsenal U19
Arsenal U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2015
ARS
Arsenal U19
2 - 0
Bayern München U19
BYM
71%
17%
13%
41 23 18 0
29 Sep. 2015
ARS
Arsenal U19
3 - 2
Olympiacos U19
OLY
50%
23%
27%
40 38 2 +1
16 Sep. 2015
DZA
Dinamo Zagreb U19
0 - 2
Arsenal U19
ARS
63%
19%
17%
39 43 4 +1
27 Jan. 2015
ATM
Atlético U19
1 - 0
Arsenal U19
ARS
40%
22%
38%
40 33 7 -1
09 Dec. 2014
GAL
Galatasaray U19
1 - 3
Arsenal U19
ARS
55%
21%
24%
38 40 2 +2