Bayern Hof vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
RTV
5 - 0
BAY
75%
13%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
DAR
1 - 1
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
BAY
4 - 2
MUN
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
BAY
3 - 1
PIR
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
KSC
2 - 0
BAY
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
M05
3 - 2
WWO
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
HEI
2 - 2
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
AUG
0 - 0
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
M05
3 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
SVS
2 - 2
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |