B. Leverkusen vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 1
BVB
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 1
LEV
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 2
LEV
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
BRE
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 0
BYM
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 0
BOA
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 1
LEV
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 4
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 0
RIO
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
3 - 2
ACA
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |