B. Leverkusen vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 1
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 1
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 0
LEV
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
MUD
2 - 2
LEV
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
S04
1 - 2
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
HER
2 - 0
S04
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
S04
2 - 1
FCN
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 0
S04
43%
26%
32%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
S04
2 - 0
HSV
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |