B. Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
10º
2º
55
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 56 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 49 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
91% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
59% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 43.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
73%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
INT
30%
25%
46%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
STP
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
BYM
0 - 1
LEV
57%
21%
22%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 2
LEV
12%
19%
70%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 2
WOL
45%
24%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
HOF
1 - 1
SCF
39%
24%
37%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 1
SCF
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
MON
45%
24%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |