B. Leverkusen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
14º
3º
2
11º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 85 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 70 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 60 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 57 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 57 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 45 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 38 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
64% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League
|
16% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 2
LEV
21%
22%
56%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 1
EIN
49%
23%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 1
VIK
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
3 - 3
LEV
16%
20%
64%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
LEV
1 - 2
HOF
66%
19%
15%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
MON
0 - 4
BRE
35%
24%
40%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
S04
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
STU
1 - 0
MON
51%
22%
28%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
HSV
47%
24%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
ADF
2 - 3
MON
5%
11%
84%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |