B. Leverkusen vs Eintracht Duisburg 1848 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
ARB
2 - 0
LEV
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
LEV
1 - 3
HAM
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1966 |
WUP
3 - 0
LEV
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
HAM
3 - 1
LEV
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LEV
1 - 1
SWE
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Duisburg 1848
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
EID
0 - 0
EGE
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
TSV
0 - 1
EID
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1966 |
EID
0 - 2
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
EID
0 - 1
WUP
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ARB
1 - 0
EID
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |