B. Leverkusen II vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.5%
Win probability
0.13
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.2%
+1
1.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.2%
0
12.8%
85.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
21.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
23.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.9%
0-3
17.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
10%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.2%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
RWA
1 - 3
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BAY
3 - 3
WUP
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 4
BAY
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
SRW
0 - 3
BAY
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1998 |
VOJ
1 - 1
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
BRE
2 - 3
FCN
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
HER
1 - 0
BRE
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 0
VOJ
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1998 |
SAM
0 - 3
BRE
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |