B. Leverkusen II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
DUS
1 - 4
BAY
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 2
YUK
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 0
BAY
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 4
STU
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | -3 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 2
DRE
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOR
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 0
FCJ
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
DUS
0 - 3
VEL
18%
21%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 2
SSV
10%
18%
73%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 0
M05
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |