B. Leverkusen II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BOC
1 - 3
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
BAY
5 - 1
KAI
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
S04
2 - 1
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
ELV
2 - 4
BAY
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
DIE
4 - 0
BOR
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
DIE
1 - 0
PRE
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
KLE
2 - 5
DIE
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 0
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 0
CLO
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |