Bayburt vs Ağrı Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
14º
12º
39
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 0
BAY
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
DAR
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 2
EBE
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ERB
1 - 0
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 1
BUY
46%
22%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
ANA
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
4 - 0
ASP
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
4 - 0
ASP
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASP
2 - 2
BKS
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AKB
1 - 1
ASP
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |