Bay Olympic vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
46.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
11º
10º
36
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 1
BAO
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAO
2 - 3
TAK
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BAO
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAO
1 - 1
MEL
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 1
BAO
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AUC
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
HAW
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 4
MAN
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |