Bay Olympic vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAO
0 - 0
EAS
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
MUF
2 - 3
BAO
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAO
0 - 1
BIR
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 3
BAO
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NSH
0 - 4
BAO
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NSH
1 - 7
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AUC
4 - 0
WUF
85%
11%
5%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 1
AUC
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
TAK
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
MEL
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |