1. Liga Promotion round 5

Bavois vs FC Zurich II analysis

Bavois FC Zurich II
51 ELO 48
7.5% Tilt 8.6%
3960º General ELO ranking 3660º
41º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Bavois
21.3%
Draw
22.3%
FC Zurich II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
Bavois
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
FC Zurich II
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bavois
-4%
-15%
FC Zurich II

ELO progression

Bavois
FC Zurich II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bavois
Bavois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
ETO
Etoile Carouge
0 - 0
Bavois
BAV
53%
23%
24%
52 56 4 0
21 Aug. 2021
BAV
Bavois
3 - 1
Sion II
SIO
62%
21%
18%
51 46 5 +1
18 Aug. 2021
BAS
FC Basel II
2 - 3
Bavois
BAV
60%
21%
19%
50 55 5 +1
07 Aug. 2021
BAV
Bavois
0 - 1
Biel-Bienne
BIE
39%
24%
37%
51 52 1 -1
16 Jun. 2021
BAV
Bavois
0 - 2
Munsingen
MUN
82%
13%
6%
52 27 25 -1

Matches

FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
FCZ
FC Zurich II
0 - 2
Black Stars
BLA
30%
26%
44%
48 56 8 0
21 Aug. 2021
CHA
SC Cham
3 - 0
FC Zurich II
FCZ
61%
20%
19%
49 55 6 -1
18 Aug. 2021
FCZ
FC Zurich II
1 - 2
YF Juventus
YFJ
54%
22%
24%
50 47 3 -1
07 Aug. 2021
SCB
SC Bruhl
2 - 5
FC Zurich II
FCZ
44%
23%
34%
49 47 2 +1
11 Jun. 2021
MUN
Munsingen
0 - 3
FC Zurich II
FCZ
10%
17%
73%
48 28 20 +1