Bavois vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
STA
3 - 2
BAV
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAV
4 - 4
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAV
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BAV
1 - 0
YOU
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STG
4 - 1
BAV
38%
23%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 0
BUL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ETO
3 - 1
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
BAV
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SCB
0 - 2
CHI
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |