Bath City vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BAT
0 - 1
SHB
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BAT
1 - 1
HAL
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
TIV
2 - 0
BAT
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
TBA
1 - 4
BAT
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BAT
0 - 1
RUG
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HIS
2 - 2
CIR
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
CIR
4 - 1
SHB
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
RUG
0 - 0
CIR
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
CIR
1 - 0
GLO
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CIR
3 - 0
BED
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |