Bath City vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
DOR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 1
BAT
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 2
EBB
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 2
BAT
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
CHM
4 - 1
DOR
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
4 - 2
CHM
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 0
CHM
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHM
3 - 1
BRO
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 0
CHM
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |