BATE Borisov vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ISL
1 - 4
BAT
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BAT
4 - 1
TOR
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BAT
2 - 1
ZOR
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 2
BAT
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAT
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
SPU
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FRB
5 - 0
FCS
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SHA
3 - 0
FCS
79%
16%
6%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SLA
1 - 1
FCS
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 1
FCS
79%
14%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |