Q. Europa League Play-Offs. Final
Global 2-4
BATE Borisov vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
DNM
1 - 1
BAT
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
AST
2 - 0
BAT
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 1
MIN
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 2
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AST
2 - 0
ORD
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
AST
2 - 0
BAT
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
AST
3 - 0
FCI
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
AST
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
AST
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |