De Bataven vs AFC Arhem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FVC
3 - 2
DEB
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DEB
3 - 6
ROH
24%
23%
54%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RKH
3 - 3
DEB
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEB
2 - 2
ACH
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MSC
6 - 0
DEB
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROH
2 - 2
ARH
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
1 - 3
MSC
39%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
0 - 1
SCN
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JUL
3 - 1
ARH
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
3 - 1
FVC
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |